Romans of the Decadence by Thomas Couture, via Wikimedia Commons |
About 40 years ago, Robert M. Adams wrote
Decadent Societies, a short book (or
long essay) that attempted to answer two questions: 1) What did the best-known “decadent”
societies of the West have in common? 2) Was the United States of the time
decadent by those criteria?
Adams suggests “…’decadence’ may be used
as shorthand for the condition of society incapable of transcending
difficulties that, years before, it would have shrugged off as routine.” Among
the symptoms he lists are:
·
military weakness;
·
food insecurity (dependence on
outside sources beyond the society’s control);
·
technological stagnation;
·
a “grossly oppressive” tax
system;
·
losses in major wars;
·
inability to prevent massive losses
through epidemic disease;
·
acceptance of rising
inequality;
·
a complete lack of concern over
the increasing proportion of the population with little to no reason to
continue to support the society’s existence.*
The societies he analyzed were: Rome;
Byzantium (the East Roman Empire); Bourbon France (the Ancien Regime); late-Romanov Russia; and the British Empire. The latter
was an interesting addition, and I suspect Adams discussed it mostly because it
was a mid-twentieth century decadence, to him at least, and so came close in
time to the contemporary US.
His conclusion was that No, the US was
not really a decadent society at that time. He did, however, identify some conditions
that alarmed him, and which—if they continued to progress on the lines he
detected—might soon lead the US into decadence. I thought it might be
interesting to look back at those conditions, and then perhaps to try to
examine the US of 2020 through Mr. Adams’s eyes.
First, the 1980s. The thing that stands
out most to me is Adams’s concern with organized crime. One of Reagan’s early
cabinet secretaries was evidently somewhat mobbed-up, and Adams thought this
might portend a taking-over of government by… the Mafia. Today, that seems
somewhat quaint. Organized crime is still a problem—not just in the US but
pretty much everywhere—but it does not seem to me to represent an existential
threat, in the sense that revolutionaries threatened France in the 1780s or
Russia in 1905-17. So there’s one sign of incipient decadence he got wrong.
One threat Adams identified that could
still be considered an issue is gun violence: “The gross, inescapable example
[of the unleashing of violent technologies] is the epidemic of handguns in
America; if a society cannot control this particularly fearful example of
technology run rampant, or even recognize the need to control it, there is
little hope of its doing anything else.” Well, on the one hand he was certainly
right about the threat; on the other hand, forty years later things were just
as bad but not evidently much worse. So perhaps we’ll call this prediction a
draw.
Adams was concerned about technological
stagnation, represented to him by the inability of Detroit’s Big Three
automakers to compete with their Japanese counterparts. Amusingly, he suggested
one possible way of dealing with the issue would be to encourage US
manufacturers to offer their employees the sort of lifetime employment then on
offer in Japan. (Adams also considered it a sign of incipient decadence that
Japanese and German automakers were opening plants in the US; he compared these
plants with the maquiladora factories
the US had set up in Mexico.) He noted the beginnings of the IT revolution
without, it seems to me, fully comprehending its potential. At the same time he
expressed a great deal of concern about the declines in coal, railroads, and
steel-making. He seemed to think the US somehow might not be able to cope with
a world in which coal wasn’t being mined and the railroads did not run. I think
it’s safe to say that the US economy didn’t suffer much more from the decline
of domestic coal and steel production than it did from the decline a hundred
years earlier of the family farm. A change in economic structures doesn’t
necessarily equate to collapse or even decay. So there’s another symptom
incorrectly apprehended.
Related to his economic concern, Adams
issued a warning about the inability in the US to understand the rate of
infrastructure decay, or to do anything about it. In 1980 he was worried about
the state of roads and bridges and other mechanisms of transport and
communication. His biggest complaint here was about a failure not only to plan
for infrastructure maintenance but even to track the process of decay. While Adams
never came out in favour of centralized planning he certainly regretted the
refusal of the US federal government to even keep proper statistics. Here’s
another prediction that we’ll have to call a draw: he was right about the
threat this posed, but while the problem hasn’t been fixed it hasn’t yet become
an existential threat either.
Adams (correctly) dismisses the whole
question of personal sexual behaviour as having anything to do with decadence. Where
he does see a potential threat it is in what he referred to as liberal “niceness”
in the face of violence and property crime. Like many a neo-conservative coming
along a decade or so later, Adams was worried the reluctance of liberal America
to get tough with criminals might represent, on a national scale, appeasement
of a Chamberlain-to-Hitler flavour. Adams did not see—nobody did—the demographic
changes that would lead to a diminution of criminal violence, even if property
crime hasn’t quite shrunk as rapidly. So there’s another threat that didn’t
quite come to pass.
At the end of his book, then, Adams
admits that “To the question, Is America a decadent society? there are at least
three answers, and two of them are Yes.”
But he qualifies those Yeses, and in fact if you look at things dispassionately—which
I have tried to do—the No answer is the one that won out. If only because the
US is still intact forty years after he wrote.
Will this continue to be the case in
another forty years?
*An example here is what happened in
late-Roman Gaul and Spain, where the entire burden of taxation was dropped on
the shoulders of the owners of farms—who were forbidden by law to stop farming.
When the state no longer provided any protection for these farmers (who were as
close as the late Roman Empire came to having a middle class), there was no
reason whatever for them to obey laws that only punished them while not
protecting them. A lot of these people abandoned farming and became brigands or
rebels. Very similar things happened in late-eighteenth century France, which
actually was developing a true middle class. The Revolution, remember, was
largely led by lawyers and dissident clergy.
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